Director of medical services and head athletic trainer for the Los Angeles Dodgers Stan Conte is trying to unlock one of the biggest mysteries of coaching: who can you count on to stay healthy and who will get injured?
According to the New York Times Conte has been compiling data for over 15 years during his time with the Dodgers and the San Francisco Giants in an attempt to create a formula for predicting the future health of baseball players. Conte works with statisticians from UCLA that use logarithmic formulas to hope to build a mathematical formula taking into consideration all aspects of a player including height, weight, ethnicity, career length and medical history.
While this project may never be fool-proof, it will become effective if coaches begin to believe in it. The effect that this may have on college recruitment could be huge. The idea that an athlete could be recruited based on a math equation instead of his current talent seems ludicrous to me, but baseball is known for its superstitions. Do you think this has a chance of catching on?